WILL DEMEKE MEKONNEN BE THE NEXT PRIME MINISTER OF ETHIOPIA? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL BELETE MOLLA BE THE NEXT PRIME MINISTER OF ETHIOPIA? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL HASSAN SHARIATMADARI BE HEAD OF STATE IN IRAN END OF 2026? 1¢ (0¢) ★ EXACT SCORE: SPAIN 2 - 3 ARGENTINA? 3¢ (0¢) ★ WILL LEBRON JAMES PLAY FOR THE GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS IN 2026-27? 14¢ (-18¢) ★ WILL THE FED DECREASE INTEREST RATES BY 25 BPS AFTER THE JULY 2026 MEETING? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL BERNIE SANDERS WIN THE 2028 DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATION? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL FRANCE WIN ON 2026-07-18? 53¢ (+3¢) ★ WILL LAMINE YAMAL WIN THE GOLDEN BALL AT THE 2026 FIFA WORLD CUP? 1¢ (-1¢) ★ WILL HARRY KANE BE THE TOP GOALSCORER AT THE 2026 FIFA WORLD CUP? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL KYLIAN MBAPPÉ WIN THE GOLDEN BALL AT THE 2026 FIFA WORLD CUP? 2¢ (0¢) ★ WILL MAX VERSTAPPEN BE THE 2026 F1 DRIVERS' CHAMPION? 2¢ (0¢) ★ WILL THERE BE A RUN SCORED IN THE FIRST INNING?: TAMPA BAY RAYS VS. BOSTON RED SOX 1¢ (-46¢) ★ WILL ARGENTINA WIN THE 2026 FIFA WORLD CUP? 40¢ (0¢) ★ EXACT SCORE: FRANCE 0 - 0 ENGLAND? 4¢ (0¢) ★ EXACT SCORE: FRANCE 3 - 1 ENGLAND? 8¢ (+1¢) ★ WILL HUNTER BIDEN BE THE DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL NOMINEE IN 2028? 1¢ (0¢) ★ EXACT SCORE: FRANCE 2 - 1 ENGLAND? 12¢ (+1¢) ★ WILL NIKKI HALEY BE THE NOMINEE FOR THE PRESIDENCY FOR THE REPUBLICAN PARTY? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL BITCOIN REACH $100,000 IN JULY? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL DEMEKE MEKONNEN BE THE NEXT PRIME MINISTER OF ETHIOPIA? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL BELETE MOLLA BE THE NEXT PRIME MINISTER OF ETHIOPIA? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL HASSAN SHARIATMADARI BE HEAD OF STATE IN IRAN END OF 2026? 1¢ (0¢) ★ EXACT SCORE: SPAIN 2 - 3 ARGENTINA? 3¢ (0¢) ★ WILL LEBRON JAMES PLAY FOR THE GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS IN 2026-27? 14¢ (-18¢) ★ WILL THE FED DECREASE INTEREST RATES BY 25 BPS AFTER THE JULY 2026 MEETING? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL BERNIE SANDERS WIN THE 2028 DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATION? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL FRANCE WIN ON 2026-07-18? 53¢ (+3¢) ★ WILL LAMINE YAMAL WIN THE GOLDEN BALL AT THE 2026 FIFA WORLD CUP? 1¢ (-1¢) ★ WILL HARRY KANE BE THE TOP GOALSCORER AT THE 2026 FIFA WORLD CUP? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL KYLIAN MBAPPÉ WIN THE GOLDEN BALL AT THE 2026 FIFA WORLD CUP? 2¢ (0¢) ★ WILL MAX VERSTAPPEN BE THE 2026 F1 DRIVERS' CHAMPION? 2¢ (0¢) ★ WILL THERE BE A RUN SCORED IN THE FIRST INNING?: TAMPA BAY RAYS VS. BOSTON RED SOX 1¢ (-46¢) ★ WILL ARGENTINA WIN THE 2026 FIFA WORLD CUP? 40¢ (0¢) ★ EXACT SCORE: FRANCE 0 - 0 ENGLAND? 4¢ (0¢) ★ EXACT SCORE: FRANCE 3 - 1 ENGLAND? 8¢ (+1¢) ★ WILL HUNTER BIDEN BE THE DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL NOMINEE IN 2028? 1¢ (0¢) ★ EXACT SCORE: FRANCE 2 - 1 ENGLAND? 12¢ (+1¢) ★ WILL NIKKI HALEY BE THE NOMINEE FOR THE PRESIDENCY FOR THE REPUBLICAN PARTY? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL BITCOIN REACH $100,000 IN JULY? 1¢ (0¢) ★
VOL. 4, NO. 199SATURDAY, JULY 18, 2026PRICE: 1¢ OR 99¢, DEPENDS
All the odds that are fit to print · Kalshi & Polymarket, surveilled around the clock
KALSHIPOLITICSLAST TICK 16 MINUTES AGO
Will Pete Hegseth be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
“Will Pete Hegseth be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?”
YES
15¢
NO
85¢
VOLUME
$16K
30-DAY PRICE, ALLEGEDLY0¢ TODAY
If Pete Hegseth is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.