WILL BELETE MOLLA BE THE NEXT PRIME MINISTER OF ETHIOPIA? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL DEMEKE MEKONNEN BE THE NEXT PRIME MINISTER OF ETHIOPIA? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL HASSAN SHARIATMADARI BE HEAD OF STATE IN IRAN END OF 2026? 1¢ (0¢) ★ EXACT SCORE: SPAIN 2 - 3 ARGENTINA? 3¢ (0¢) ★ WILL LEBRON JAMES PLAY FOR THE GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS IN 2026-27? 14¢ (-17¢) ★ WILL FRANCE WIN ON 2026-07-18? 54¢ (+3¢) ★ WILL BERNIE SANDERS WIN THE 2028 DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATION? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL THE FED DECREASE INTEREST RATES BY 25 BPS AFTER THE JULY 2026 MEETING? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL KYLIAN MBAPPÉ WIN THE GOLDEN BALL AT THE 2026 FIFA WORLD CUP? 2¢ (0¢) ★ WILL MAX VERSTAPPEN BE THE 2026 F1 DRIVERS' CHAMPION? 2¢ (0¢) ★ WILL THERE BE A RUN SCORED IN THE FIRST INNING?: TAMPA BAY RAYS VS. BOSTON RED SOX 1¢ (-46¢) ★ WILL HARRY KANE BE THE TOP GOALSCORER AT THE 2026 FIFA WORLD CUP? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL LAMINE YAMAL WIN THE GOLDEN BALL AT THE 2026 FIFA WORLD CUP? 2¢ (0¢) ★ EXACT SCORE: FRANCE 2 - 1 ENGLAND? 11¢ (+1¢) ★ WILL ARGENTINA WIN THE 2026 FIFA WORLD CUP? 40¢ (0¢) ★ EXACT SCORE: FRANCE 0 - 0 ENGLAND? 4¢ (0¢) ★ EXACT SCORE: FRANCE 3 - 1 ENGLAND? 8¢ (+1¢) ★ WILL HUNTER BIDEN BE THE DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL NOMINEE IN 2028? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL NIKKI HALEY BE THE NOMINEE FOR THE PRESIDENCY FOR THE REPUBLICAN PARTY? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL BITCOIN REACH $100,000 IN JULY? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL BELETE MOLLA BE THE NEXT PRIME MINISTER OF ETHIOPIA? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL DEMEKE MEKONNEN BE THE NEXT PRIME MINISTER OF ETHIOPIA? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL HASSAN SHARIATMADARI BE HEAD OF STATE IN IRAN END OF 2026? 1¢ (0¢) ★ EXACT SCORE: SPAIN 2 - 3 ARGENTINA? 3¢ (0¢) ★ WILL LEBRON JAMES PLAY FOR THE GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS IN 2026-27? 14¢ (-17¢) ★ WILL FRANCE WIN ON 2026-07-18? 54¢ (+3¢) ★ WILL BERNIE SANDERS WIN THE 2028 DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATION? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL THE FED DECREASE INTEREST RATES BY 25 BPS AFTER THE JULY 2026 MEETING? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL KYLIAN MBAPPÉ WIN THE GOLDEN BALL AT THE 2026 FIFA WORLD CUP? 2¢ (0¢) ★ WILL MAX VERSTAPPEN BE THE 2026 F1 DRIVERS' CHAMPION? 2¢ (0¢) ★ WILL THERE BE A RUN SCORED IN THE FIRST INNING?: TAMPA BAY RAYS VS. BOSTON RED SOX 1¢ (-46¢) ★ WILL HARRY KANE BE THE TOP GOALSCORER AT THE 2026 FIFA WORLD CUP? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL LAMINE YAMAL WIN THE GOLDEN BALL AT THE 2026 FIFA WORLD CUP? 2¢ (0¢) ★ EXACT SCORE: FRANCE 2 - 1 ENGLAND? 11¢ (+1¢) ★ WILL ARGENTINA WIN THE 2026 FIFA WORLD CUP? 40¢ (0¢) ★ EXACT SCORE: FRANCE 0 - 0 ENGLAND? 4¢ (0¢) ★ EXACT SCORE: FRANCE 3 - 1 ENGLAND? 8¢ (+1¢) ★ WILL HUNTER BIDEN BE THE DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL NOMINEE IN 2028? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL NIKKI HALEY BE THE NOMINEE FOR THE PRESIDENCY FOR THE REPUBLICAN PARTY? 1¢ (0¢) ★ WILL BITCOIN REACH $100,000 IN JULY? 1¢ (0¢) ★
VOL. 4, NO. 199SATURDAY, JULY 18, 2026PRICE: 1¢ OR 99¢, DEPENDS
All the odds that are fit to print · Kalshi & Polymarket, surveilled around the clock
KALSHIPOLITICSLAST TICK 6 HOURS AGO
Will there be no U.S. acquisition of Greenland during Trump’s term?
“Will there be no U.S. acquisition of Greenland during Trump’s term?”
YES
83¢
NO
17¢
VOLUME
$697K
30-DAY PRICE, ALLEGEDLY0¢ TODAY
If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is exactly $0 / No Acquisition during Trump’s term, then the market resolves to Yes.