KALSHI
ELECTIONS
LAST TICK 3 HOURS AGO
Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?
“Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?”
YES
20¢
NO
80¢
VOLUME
$25.9M
If at least 3 of:
unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS)
S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance
Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix
labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%
CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release
occur in any release published after Issuance and before July 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.